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Hurricane Kenneth
#1
Fenomeno raro per il mese di Novembre a Sud del Messico dove imperversa la tempesta tropicale chiamata Kenneth.
La traiettoria esclude ogni pericolo per la terraferma.
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Discrete possibilità per un Categoria1 :
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GOES-11 0.65 µm visible channel images + ship reports
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GOES-11 10.7 µm IR images + ship reports
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
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#2
MIMIC Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product
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GOES-11
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#3
Appena salvate
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#4
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#5
A far notizia è certamente l'intensità che ha raggiunto tale depressione in un periodo così insolito dell'anno.
Dando uno sguardo alla mappa delle anomalie termiche oceaniche, balzano subito all'occhio temperature superiori alle medie anche di 2-3°C, a poche decine di chilometri a sud della tempesta. Tali anomalie forniscono il “carburante” necessario all'attività del sistema perturbato. In passato gli annali meteorologici ci ricordano l'uragano Winnie, sviluppatosi nel Dicembre del 1983 sviluppatosi anch'esso sul Pacifico orientale.
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Kenneth: Insolita Tropical Storm al largo del Messico | 3B Meteo

Dagli ultimi aggiornamenti crescono drasticamente la possibilità di vedere un cat2/3
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#6
Citazione:000
WTPZ33 KNHC 211437
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KENNETH ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132011
700 AM PST MON NOV 21 2011

...KENNETH BECOMES A RARE LATE-SEASON HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 109.6W
ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNETH WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST. KENNETH IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN 24 HOURS...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KENNETH IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST...AND KENNETH COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 PM PST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Hurricane KENNETH Public Advisory
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#7
Un possibile cat4 Confusedhock:Confusedhock:
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Secondo la NOAA ci sono alte possibilità che nelle prossime ore diventi un cat4 (66%)
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Uragano Kenneth visto dal MODIS 21 Novembre 2011
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Citazione:ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KENNETH ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132011
100 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2011

...KENNETH RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 112.8W
ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNETH WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST. KENNETH IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED LATER ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KENNETH IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...700 AM PST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

NNNN
Hurricane KENNETH
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#8
Ragazzi Cat4 portata a casa Confusedhock:

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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#9
[Immagine: 300x300_11221746_kennethwide.jpg]

Da accuweather si legge:

Citazione:AccuWeather.com's Jesse Ferrell reports that no other major (Category 3 or greater) hurricanes have been observed in the eastern Pacific during the month of November since records began in the 1800s.
Da quando ci sono le misurazioni (1800), è la prima volta che un uragano nel Nord Pacifico orientale raggiunge e supera cat3 nel mese di Novembre.


Beccatevi l'occhio :cool1:
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Il precedente storico :
Hurricane Winnie - December 4-8, 1983
Hurricane Winnie - December 4-8, 1983
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
Cita messaggio
#10
Just one day after first reaching hurricane status, Hurricane Kenneth has strengthened into a Category 4 storm. The rare mid-November hurricane is now the latest occurring major hurricane ever observed in the eastern North Pacific basin.

Kenneth has punishing winds of 145 mph (230 kph), but is currently not considered a threat to land as it pushes westward some 750 miles (1,210 kilometers) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Category 4 is the second-highest category on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane strength. The storm is expected to remain a hurricane through Thursday before weakening.

Though the official hurricane seasons for both the eastern Pacific and Atlantic last until Nov. 30, it is rare for storms to form this late in the year, as tropical ocean waters are cooler than they are at the height of the season in August and September and therefore less likely to fuel the storms.

Kenneth is only the fourth tropical system on record to form in the eastern Pacific Ocean after Nov. 18, and the second-latest hurricane after Hurricane Winnie on Dec. 5, 1983.

The latest a hurricane has ever been observed in the Atlantic basin was the second Hurricane Alice of the 1954 season, spotted on Dec. 31, according to the NHC. The latest hurricane to hit the United States was a storm that made landfall near Tampa, Fla., on Nov. 30, 1925 (this occurred before storms received names).

The low pressure system in the Atlantic that forecasters were eyeing in case it became Tropical Storm Tammy is now not expected to coalesce into a storm.
Kenneth Becomes Latest Major Hurricane Ever Recorded in Eastern Pacific | Major Hurricanes, Hurricane Records Hurricane Season 2011 | Hurricane News, Hurricane Updates | OurAmazingPlanet.com
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Mike:"You know what happened. The question is, can you live with it?”

"Quando il sole della cultura è basso, i nani hanno l'aspetto di giganti"
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